Expectations and exchange rate dynamics: A state-dependent pricing approach
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Heterogeneous Expectations, Exchange Rate Dynamics and Predictability
This paper proposes a simple chartist-fundamentalist model in which we allow for nonlinear time variation in chartists’ extrapolation rate. Estimation of the model using monthly data for the major currencies vis-a-vis the US dollar shows that the model is significant in-sample and that it has out-of-sample predictive power for some of the currencies. We investigate the power of tests of the ran...
متن کاملState-Dependent Pricing, Local-Currency Pricing, and Exchange Rate Pass-Through - Dallas Fed
Abstract This paper presents a two-country DSGE model with state-dependent pricing as in Dotsey, King, and Wolman (1999) in which firms price-discriminate across countries by setting prices in local currency. In this model, a domestic monetary expansion has greater spillover effects to foreign prices and foreign economic activity than an otherwise identical model with time-dependent pricing. In...
متن کاملExchange rate dynamics in a model of pricing - to - market
This paper develops a general equilibrium exchange rate model consistent with the weak empirical evidence supporting the law of one price. Some firms segment markets by country, and set prices in local currency of sale, a practice we refer to as pricing-to-market (PTM). The presence of PTM increases exchange rate volatility, relative to a situation where the law of one price holds. PTM also aff...
متن کاملState-Dependent Pricing and the Dynamics of Money and Output
Your use of the JSTOR archive indicates your acceptance of JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use, available at http://www.jstor.org/page/info/about/policies/terms.jsp. JSTOR's Terms and Conditions of Use provides, in part, that unless you have obtained prior permission, you may not download an entire issue of a journal or multiple copies of articles, and you may use content in the JSTOR archive o...
متن کاملEstimating Exchange Rate Equations Using Estimated Expectations
This paper takes a somewhat different approach from the recent literature in estimating exchange rate equations. It assumes uncovered interest rate parity and models how expectations are formed. Agents are assumed to base their expectations of future interest rates and prices, which are needed in the determination of the exchange rate, on predictions from a ten equation VAR model. The overall m...
متن کاملذخیره در منابع من
با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید
ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Journal of International Economics
سال: 2009
ISSN: 0022-1996
DOI: 10.1016/j.jinteco.2009.01.010